Contact Hypothesis Thread

https://x.com/KirkegaardEmil/status/1513700809585967109

Shitlibs have this idea called they call the contact hypothesis where they assert that racists are just ignorant of what other people are like and that if they just had contact with them, they'd view others more positively. Like a parent telling their child "try it, you'll like it!"

Really however, these people suck and coming into contact with them causes people to dislike them. Here's the map of US scores on the implicit associations test on the top (those damn racist southerners!), and here's another map of where black people live on the bottom:

An analysis of 70 metropolitan areas found that for every black family that moved into a central city between 1940 and 1970, two white families moved out:
https://archive.is/ajt1Z
https://not-equal.org/content/pdf/misc/10.1515_9781400882977.pdf

A meta-analysis of contact hypothesis studies finds that having contact with blacks reduces perceptions of injustice and reduces support for reparations:
https://not-equal.org/content/pdf/misc/Reimer2023.pdf

Another contact hypothesis meta-analysis finds high publication bias with the intercept suggesting that a study with zero standard error would find a negative effect, ngl I think this is how all publication bias corrections should be done. Regular trim & fill adds studies until the correlation between effect size and standard error is p>.05; really, it should at least add them until the correlation is 0.0, and preferably it should look at the intercept instead.
https://sci-hub.ru/https://doi.org/10.1017/bpp.2018.25

^ related:
https://www.irp.wisc.edu/publications/focus/pdfs/foc32a.pdf
How to Predict Gentrification: Look for Falling Crime:
https://www.amren.com/news/2017/01/predict-gentrification-look-falling-crime/

Many places resemble ferguson:
https://www.amren.com/news/2014/09/a-lot-of-places-resemble-ferguson-statistically/

British Families Are ‘Self-Segregating’ as More Caucasians Abandon Urban Areas for the Countryside:
https://www.amren.com/news/2013/01/rise-of-white-flight-british-families-are-self-segregating-as-more-caucasians-abandon-urban-areas-for-the-countryside/

Western Europeans Flee from Islam and Set Up Colonies in Hungary:
https://www.amren.com/news/2017/11/western-europeans-flee-islam-set-colonies-hungary/

For those who haven't seen it, @GodCloseMyEyes has another good White Flight thread: https://x.com/GodCloseMyEyes/status/1414619671056297984

More L’s for Contact Theory (h/t @Sean__Last):
—Exposure to Immigrants Does Not Moderate the Relationship Between Disgust Sensitivity and Opposition to Immigration https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/19485506231164206
—The more black people that moved into a given northern county during the "great migration" the more implicit bias against black people there is today among white people in that county https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/19485506231181718

Whites who live near Mestizos have a stronger sense of racial identity and are more likely to vote for Trump:

https://theconversation.com/donald-trump-and-the-rise-of-white-identity-in-politics-67037